Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 80% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 146 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 20 May 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 74.5% on 2 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 78.5% on 9 Feb 2026. $10.68K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 4:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 20 May 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 80.0% |
| 20 May 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Timelord-bot | No | 400 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 298.09 |
| Misty Summit 3196 | No | 220.71 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/idaho-republican-senate-primary-winner
| justApredictdog | No | 166.13 |
| predictTiny | No | 150 |
| akunai | No | 100 |
| subprimemaster | No | 52.64 |
| Crimson Ledger 0932 | No | 48.99 |
| paas2 | No | 30 |
| Amber Atlas 8172 | Yes | 24.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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