Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.8%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 5 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2023 to 25 Oct 2023, the highest close was 66% on 17 Oct 2023 and the lowest 3.3% on 25 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 66% on 17 Oct 2023. $159.9K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 5:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 5 Oct 2023 – 25 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2023 | 25.5% |
| 25 Oct 2023 | 3.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MelMan2002 | Yes | 2.92K |
| wooz-964 | Yes | 312.82 |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 75.26 |
| P K | No | 73.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-speaker
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| pimi | Yes | 0.04 |
