Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 20 Aug 2024, the highest close was 99.6% on 20 Aug 2024 and the lowest 59.5% on 11 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 72.5% on 12 Aug 2024. $129.25K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 5:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 20 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 71.5% |
| 20 Aug 2024 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tstraya | No | 2.84K |
| Cardz | No | 200.75 |
| Bright Falcon F8B1 | No | 100 |
| cyalitiwhir1975 | Yes | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jill Biden is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly give a speech in-person at the convention. Brief comments, introductions, or participation in a panel or discussion do not count for a "Yes" resolution, they must actually give a speech. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-speak-at-dnc
New to prediction markets?
| dsgkdfs | Yes | 0.09 |
| cdccggg | Yes | 0.08 |
| bellbravasan1987 | Yes | 0.07 |
| guikensiser1970 | Yes | 0.06 |
| Full-Magnitude | Yes | 0.06 |
| PetterParkur | No | 0.06 |
