Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 18.6% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 18.6% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 2.7% on 26 Jun 2026. $2.89K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 5:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 18.6% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.91K |
| balthazar | Yes | 509.59 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Home Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Home Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Home Secretary is appointed, or Shabana Mahmood is re-appointed as Home Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Home Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-uk-home-secretary-in-2026-20260622184449063
| Yes |
| 119.23 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 118.85 |
| akko123 | Yes | 111.65 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| pestanimal | Yes | 50 |
| justlookingdontmindme | Yes | 40 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 27.1 |
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