Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 26%. Yes opened at 36% on 4 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2026 to 5 Jan 2026, the highest close was 36% on 4 Jan 2026 and the lowest 26% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 26% on 5 Jan 2026. $1.73K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Jan 2026 – 5 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | 36.0% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | No | 150 |
| qwertyyyy | No | 113.73 |
| DecisionLess | No | 70 |
| scin | No | 59.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jensen Huang is scheduled to participate in a event, "NVIDIA Live at CES 2026 with Founder and CEO Jensen Huang" on January 5, 2026, 4 PM ET (see https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/events/ces/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen Huang says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips or prerecorded videos are aired where Jensen Huang is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If this appearance is definitively cancelled or otherwise is not released by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jensen-huang-say-during-nvidia-keynote
| t189 | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| michaelnevernot | No | 31.69 |
| Royal Beacon B25D | No | 30.77 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 15 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
