Will Jensen Huang say "FSD" or "Full Self-Driving" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 17, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 12.5% on 8 Mar 2026.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 6:05 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 17 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 Mar 2026	28.0%
17 Mar 2026	9.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
asdfghjkl1235	Yes	26.24
Slimey	Yes	14.31
cri7	Yes	10.42
Purple-Bit	Yes	5

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Jensen Huang is scheduled to deliver a keynote at the NVIDIA GTC event on March 16, 2026, 2PM ET (https://www.nvidia.com/gtc/keynote/?regcode=no-ncid&ncid=no-ncid). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen Huang says the listed term during the event on March 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the NVIDIA GTC keynote on March 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.