Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56.5%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 63% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 40% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 40% on 7 Mar 2026.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 53.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BIsLosingMoney | No | 50 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 16 |
| jjzzh | No | 5 |
| mdgc | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jensen Huang is scheduled to deliver a keynote at the NVIDIA GTC event on March 16, 2026, 2PM ET (https://www.nvidia.com/gtc/keynote/?regcode=no-ncid&ncid=no-ncid). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen Huang says the listed term during the event on March 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the NVIDIA GTC keynote on March 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jensen-huang-say-during-the-nvidia-gtc-keynote
| Sid999 | No | 1.79 |
| 12lddd | Yes | 0.05 |
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