Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 21%. Yes opened at 24% on 28 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 79% on 17 Jun 2026 and the low 24% on 28 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 76% on 29 May 2026. $2.65K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 4:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 28 May 2026 – 17 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 24.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 79.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 978.78 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| Royal Ledger 7119 | Yes | 133.58 |
| Rokokoraccoon | Yes | 60 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OK-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ok-04-democratic-primary-winner
| Lavincey | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| shiifoo | Yes | 40.43 |
| Royal Raven 6B2B | Yes | 20 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 16.65 |
| wvsfsafasd | Yes | 15 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
