Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 4 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2025 to 3 Feb 2026, the highest close was 72% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 5% on 8 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 22.4% on 3 Feb 2026. $8.42K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 4, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 4 Dec 2025 – 3 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | 6.5% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | 22.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tindermaster | Yes | 350 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 297 |
| goflow1 | Yes | 53.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player signs with a new club between market issuance and February 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any transfer, loan, loan extensions, or a free agent signing of a player that did not play for the club in the most recent season will qualify. Transfers between a club’s senior and reserve or youth teams, as well as free agents re-signing with the team they most recently played for, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the clubs involved, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-soccer-players-will-sign-with-new-clubs-in-the-winter-transfer-window
| Yes |
| 40 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| Fair-Dinghy | Yes | 12.86 |
| TheFinalPercent | Yes | 10 |
| Amber Ledger 6D37 | Yes | 9.15 |
| Lunar Pulse 505C | Yes | 8 |
| 26lkkdasdsa | Yes | 6.25 |
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