Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 37% on 23 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 37% on 23 Jan 2026 and the low 0.2% on 24 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 0.2% on 24 Jan 2026. $2.53K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 23 Jan 2026 – 24 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | 37.0% |
| 24 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Arctic-Machinery | Yes | 200 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 50 |
| False-Quote | Yes | 50 |
| Terrific-Soup | Yes | 44.2 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 37.25 |
| Rectangular-Gorilla | Yes | 35.71 |
| tiancs | Yes | 30.62 |
| spinachninja | Yes | 18 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
J.D. Vance is set to deliver remarks in Washington on on January 23, 2026 (see: https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during the event on January 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the remarks for March for Life (https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e9km1Py1nYE
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jd-vance-say-at-the-march-for-life-on-friday
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