Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 25 Sep 2024 and the low 16.5% on 28 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 21% on 26 Sep 2024. $59.06K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 4:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Sep 2024 – 2 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2024 | 50.0% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jcharles10 | Yes | 4.3K |
| Wiw | Yes | 927.66 |
| Scrumbplo | Yes | 481.9 |
| yegnim | Yes | 394.23 |
| Margie | Yes | 128.92 |
| DelicateKyle | Yes | 108.7 |
| Strident-Bookend | Yes | 98.08 |
| J123123 | Yes | 66.67 |
| Pure-Pot | Yes | 54.88 |
| Nou | Yes | 43.48 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says "Stolen valor" any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-the-vp-debate
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