Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58.5%. Yes opened at 68% on 30 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2024 to 31 Oct 2024, the highest close was 68% on 30 Oct 2024 and the lowest 58.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 58.5% on 31 Oct 2024. $19.71K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 7:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2024 – 31 Oct 2024, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2024 | 68.0% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UrAbigGuy | No | 11.9 |
| IberianLynx | Yes | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
JD Vance has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Wednesday, October 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says "abortion" during their appearance on this podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-vance-say-during-rogan-podcast
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
