Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.7%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 25 Feb 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 23 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 2.9% on 24 Feb 2026. $63.98K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 26, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 25 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 4.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.55K |
| Energeticone | Yes | 2.41K |
| Twin-Icing | Yes | 2.23K |
| petyastehlik | Yes | 1.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the number of times JD Vance stands and claps during Donald Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address, scheduled for February 24, 2026. Only instances in which JD Vance clearly stands up and visibly claps his hands together will qualify. Applause while seated will NOT count. Standing without clapping will NOT count. Clapping while partially rising but not fully standing will NOT count. Each discrete standing instance will count as one occurrence, regardless of the duration of the applause during that standing period. If JD Vance sits down and later stands again to clap, this will count as a new occurrence. Only clapping that occurs between the moment Donald Trump reaches the podium and the moment he leaves the podium will qualify. Applause before he reaches the podium or after he departs will NOT count. If JD Vance is not present for the address, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the 2026 address to Congress does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the official C-SPAN video feed of the address.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-times-jd-vance-claps-at-state-of-the-union
| chacha-26 | Yes | 1.51K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.51K |
| Eaglewin4141 | Yes | 1.37K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 1.05K |
| shine | Yes | 951.72 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 737.13 |
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