Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 40% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 5.5% on 15 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 6.5% on 14 Jul 2025. $11.11K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 15 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 40.0% |
| 15 Jul 2025 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.75K |
| FTXrisk | Yes | 5K |
| user51157846579381563 | Yes | 2.03K |
| gatorade | Yes | 999.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025 T-Mobile MLB Home Run Derby, scheduled for July 14, 2025. If the listed player wins the 2025 T-Mobile MLB Home Run Derby, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025 T-Mobile MLB Home Run Derby is canceled or postponed past August 1, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be MLB.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-home-run-derby-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| limaalpha | Yes | 133.33 |
| LeviH | Yes | 120 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 80 |
| hillsy44 | Yes | 66.67 |
| javierchavez | Yes | 33 |
