Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 58% on 19 Aug 2025 and the low 0.5% on 22 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 50% on 5 Aug 2025. $6.9K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 27 Jun 2025 – 22 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 50.0% |
| 22 Oct 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 712 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 213.93 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 137 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is traded to another NBA team, or signs a contract to play in the 2025-26 NBA season with a team other than the NBA team they last played for during the 2024–25 NBA season, between May 12 and October 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the listed player retires, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-nba-stars-leave-their-team
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