Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 2 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 49 points down, to 1.1% on 3 Oct 2025. $21.02K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.54K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1K |
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| tindache | Yes | 576.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 49. If Survivor season 49 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 49 has otherwise not concluded by February 28, 2026 ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 49.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/survivor-49-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| paspor | Yes | 312.67 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 255.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 227.7 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 225.5 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 221 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 209.99 |
