Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10% on 4 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 138 daily closes on record from 4 Aug 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 10% on 4 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Aug 2025. $1.97M traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 3:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 138 points, 4 Aug 2025 – 18 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2025 | 10.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 309.01K |
| Cobalt Horizon B1FE | Yes | 40K |
| htfd59 | Yes | 34.38K |
The 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship will premiere on Peacock this fall (https://www.pokernews.com/news/2025/07/national-heads-up-poker-championship-return-49301.htm). This market predicts which player will win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player wins the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 pm ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final players agree to a prize‑money chop, this market will resolve based on the player who is awarded the official tournament trophy. The primary resolution source for this market will be Peacock, along with streaming coverage on PokerGO and PokerStars. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2025-national-heads-up-poker-championship-winner-845
| Yes |
| 30.53K |
| CrewKings | Yes | 15.85K |
| afa001 | Yes | 13.5K |
| JeffSweats | Yes | 11.85K |
| Moneyfesting | Yes | 9.1K |
| NiHaoFineShyt | Yes | 8.5K |
| ideaaf | Yes | 8.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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