Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 6 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 99.8% on 4 Mar 2026.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 10:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 6 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 34.5% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5M |
| Durango1202 | No | 6.7K |
| Fearless-Roster | No | 2K |
| bamesjond | No | 1.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployment rate for both sexes, displayed as a percent) reported in the Japan Labour Force Survey for January 2026. The resolution source for this market is e-Stat, the portal site of Official Statistics of Japan. The monthly unemployment rate reported in the Labour Force Survey is published each month in the table titled “Labour Force participation rate, employment rate and unemployment rate” at https://www.e-stat.go.jp/en/dbview?sid=0003005865. The relevant figure may be found with ‘Rate [%]’, ‘All industries’, ‘Unemployed person’, and ‘All Japan’ selected, in the column for Both sexes and the row for the relevant month. The next data release is scheduled for March 3, 2026, according to the official calendar (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/roudou/1543.html). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/january-2026-unemployment-rate-japan
| zrklox | No | 1K |
| Rom4ik88 | No | 1K |
| traderonthew | No | 333.33 |
| Pointless-Duster | No | 333.33 |
| BobFoodDip99 | No | 52.64 |
| triklozoid | No | 30 |
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