Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 6% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 30 Jan 2026, the highest close was 6% on 28 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.1 points down, to 0.4% on 30 Jan 2026. $1.65K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 30 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 6.0% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.21K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 419 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 300.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 299 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployment rate for both sexes, displayed as a percent) reported in the Japan Labour Force Survey for December 2025. The resolution source for this market is e-Stat, the portal site of Official Statistics of Japan. The monthly unemployment rate reported in the Labour Force Survey is published each month in the table titled “Labour Force participation rate, employment rate and unemployment rate” at https://www.e-stat.go.jp/en/dbview?sid=0003005865. The relevant figure may be found with ‘Rate [%]’, ‘All industries’, ‘Unemployed person’, and ‘All Japan’ selected, in the column for Both sexes and the row for the relevant month. The next data release is scheduled for January 30, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/december-2025-unemployment-rate-japan
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 150 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 107 |
| 0xwon | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 49.99 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 22.7 |
| 16r0ob | Yes | 22.46 |
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