Analytics
Yes is at 0.3%, down 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 18 Jun 2026.
Across the 128 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.5%; a month before, 3.1%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 24.5% on 12 Jul 2026.
2.5-2.9% ranks third of the 6 outcomes in “Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026”. 2.0-2.4% leads at 56.7%; ≤1.9% is at 43.4%.
$134.75 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.61K since listing. The order book holds $2.08K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 257 trades, $242.16 bought Yes and $3.83K bought No.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 647 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.8K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Jan 2027, 86 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 128 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.78K |
| balthazar | Yes | 646.94 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 620.33 |
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/japan-core-cpi-yoy-in-2026-20260617224131789
| FrozenParasite |
| Yes |
| 579.43 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 472.64 |
| jikolep | Yes | 421.53 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 412.23 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 395.16 |
| akko123 | Yes | 297.14 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 264.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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