Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 25% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 28 Jan 2026 and the low 17.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 26.5% on 29 Jan 2026.
306 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 7:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 25.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 260.23K |
| Ramen.sport | Yes | 21.48K |
| poopicicle | Yes | 18.05K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 10.95K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the team that wins the 2026 World Baseball Classic (WBC). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 WBC per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 WBC tournament is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-winner-2026
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| JeremyWade | Yes | 10K |
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| Youthful-Witch | Yes | 7.41K |
| rated | Yes | 5.62K |
