Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 3, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$64.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 3, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 3 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 84%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 3 May 2026, the highest close was 84% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 66% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 83.5% on 2 May 2026. $64.51K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 4, 6:22 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 3 May 2026, chart shows 60%–90%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Apr 2026	66.5%
3 May 2026	84.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4.56K
products	No	2.12K
ersla	No	2K
bromberg	No	1.69K

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.