Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 24 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 21 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 22.9% on 16 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 24 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.1% on 24 May 2026. $96.54K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 24, 11:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 21 Feb 2026 – 24 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | 5.0% |
| 24 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 292.27K |
| Fake-Polenta | Yes | 18.79K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 3K |
| morilun | Yes | 2.2K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/dublin-central-by-election-winner
| Trustworthy-Wriggler | Yes | 1.57K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| SAP0804 | Yes | 928.04 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 872.11 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 634.96 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 503.96 |
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