Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 22 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 22 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 10 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 5.5% on 23 May 2026. $1.16K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 19, 4:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 22 May 2026 – 19 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | 25.5% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.9K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 373.29 |
| korda77 | Yes | 295.06 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/makerfield-by-election-2nd-place
| bjprolo | Yes | 114.5 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| godblessme2026 | Yes | 91.94 |
| mildwindow27 | Yes | 83.95 |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 54 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 49.99 |
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