Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 61.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 109 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 25.5% on 22 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 17 Jan 2026. $7.36K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Good-Trench | Yes | 249.99 |
| nadinero10 | Yes | 178.57 |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 100.9 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| predictionponyft | Yes | 24.84 |
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 20 |
| Elaborate-Spiritual | Yes | 18.52 |
| vger7 | Yes | 16 |
| Crimson Quasar 6A44 | Yes | 16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
