Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 8 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 37.5% on 11 Jul 2026. $175.69 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 5:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 291.33 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 76 |
| hesure | Yes | 50 |
| balthazar | Yes | 47.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fifth overall in the 2026 MLB Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-draft-player-to-be-drafted-5th-overall-20260706220030769
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Jade Oracle 8329 | Yes | 25 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
