Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 19 points from 23% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
Across the 287 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.2% on 8 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.8%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 16% on 21 Dec 2025.
It is one of 14 markets under “Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?”.
$1.91K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $593.1, with a 4.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 138 trades, $26.8 bought Yes and $1.28K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Artaius with 400 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2K. Ten wallets hold 91.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 23.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.98K |
| Artaius | Yes | 400.02 |
| cowcat | Yes | 311.27 |
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un
2 more markets, none above 0.1%.
| El-Coronel |
| Yes |
| 282.78 |
| 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes | 194.37 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 168.96 |
| Matromer | Yes | 136.57 |
| ParisDubai | Yes | 82.2 |
| philwa | Yes | 52.91 |
| UbuntuTrading | Yes | 45.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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