Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 9 Dec 2025 and the low 0.3% on 15 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 27% on 11 Dec 2025. $4.19K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 16, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Dec 2025 – 15 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 622 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 271.99 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 257.19 |
| kuaqr | Yes | 244.39 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 230 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 227 |
| marge | Yes | 135.29 |
| indicator | Yes | 129.15 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 126.39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by IVE is in the #1 spot on Melon's Top 100 chart for the week labeled December 8, 2025 - December 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of December 8 is released (Which typically occurs on the Monday following the week for which data is collected, i.e. December 15). If no data is released for the week of December 8 - December 14 by December 15, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Melon. The top 100 chart can be found on https://www.melon.com/chart/#.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ive-reach-1-on-melon-this-week-december-8-14
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