Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35% on 16 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Mar 2025 to 21 Mar 2025, the highest close was 35% on 16 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 0.1% on 21 Mar 2025. $15.19K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 10:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Mar 2025 – 21 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | 35.0% |
| 21 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Voyager 2D11 | Yes | 245 |
| Ivory Ledger 1798 | Yes | 240 |
| Cosmic Meteor 3064 | Yes | 215 |
| Royal Horizon 5BBD | Yes | 190 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the outcome of the UEFA Nations League match between Italy vs. Germany scheduled for March 20, 2025, at 3:45 PM ET. This market is only for the outcome of the first leg of the UEFA Nations League match: Italy vs. Germany. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “Draw”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA Nations League.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-italy-vs-germany
| Ivory Maven F1D1 | Yes | 190 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 167.86 |
| Keen Atlas 9131 | Yes | 160 |
| Cobalt Quasar 5146 | Yes | 80 |
| Amber Atlas 9B50 | Yes | 65 |
| Ivory Pioneer 216B | Yes | 60 |
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