Will it Snow in Miami this December?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$26.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 2.9% on 22 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. $26.02K traded over the market's life.

35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:05 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Nov 2025	2.9%
1 Jan 2026	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
MyLige	Yes	1.11K
tailevent	Yes	600
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	578
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	260.32

10 of 35 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed city records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2025, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches is recorded by the National Weather Service for the listed city, this market will resolve immediately to “Yes”. If no such snowfall has been recorded, this market may not resolve until the NWS Daily Climate Report for the listed city for December 31, 2025 has been published. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), Washington-National (Washington D.C.), Phoenix, AZ (Phoenix), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Atlanta, GA (Atlanta), Boston (Logan Airport), MA (Boston), and Pittsburgh, PA (Pittsburgh). The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.