Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 79.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 15 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 15 Dec 2025 and the lowest 79.5% on 22 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 99.4% on 15 Dec 2025. $14.93K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 15 Dec 2025, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 79.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MyLige | No | 1.11K |
| gopfan2 | No | 925.12 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 689 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 367 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed city records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2025, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches is recorded by the National Weather Service for the listed city, this market will resolve immediately to “Yes”. If no such snowfall has been recorded, this market may not resolve until the NWS Daily Climate Report for the listed city for December 31, 2025 has been published. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park NY (New York City), Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (Dallas), Miami, FL (Miami), Seattle-Tacoma, WA (Seattle), Washington-National (Washington D.C.), Phoenix, AZ (Phoenix), Philadelphia, PA (Philadelphia), Atlanta, GA (Atlanta), Boston (Logan Airport), MA (Boston), and Pittsburgh, PA (Pittsburgh). The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-snow-this-december
| horatio | No | 309.08 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 299 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 262 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 228 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 179 |
| 25oodksmsss09 | No | 41.7 |
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