Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 18 Jan 2025, the highest close was 12% on 11 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.3% on 18 Jan 2025. $43.82K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 8:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 18 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 10.5% |
| 18 Jan 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MariaR | Yes | 71.43 |
| 6000 | Yes | 71.43 |
| Krishna6887 | Yes | 63.75 |
| FionaFlora | Yes | 14.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If the total precipitation in Downtown Los Angeles on any day between January 9 (inclusive) and January 17 (inclusive), 2025 is greater than 0.0 inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure under "PRECIPITATION) (IN)" when the "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" for "Los Angeles Downtown" is selected under "Observed Weather" at https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=lox.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-it-rain-in-la-by-next-friday
| pythagoras0x | Yes | 5.88 |
| FabikiII | No | 4.35 |
| kibriyakarema5379 | No | 1.01 |
| akhen | No | 0.02 |
| Krolik4545 | No | 0.02 |
| daroghi | No | 0.01 |
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