Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 23% on 29 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 4 Jun 2026 and the low 23% on 29 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 48.5% on 30 May 2026. $13.71 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 9, 6:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 29 May 2026 – 9 Jun 2026 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 23.0% |
| 9 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on May 29, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date. Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=knyc
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-it-rain-in-central-park-on-friday-may-29th-2026
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