Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 43% on 31 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2025 to 2 Nov 2025, the highest close was 43% on 31 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.2% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 3.4% on 1 Nov 2025. $102.93K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 3, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 31 Oct 2025 – 2 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 | 43.0% |
| 2 Nov 2025 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.45K |
| hyperlickquid | Yes | 8K |
| tyronegibbs | Yes | 6.81K |
| Vivacious-Segment | Yes | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between November 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-november
| 2147483647 | Yes | 2.13K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 1.94K |
| aadghh | Yes | 1.8K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.75K |
| Mahdidefi | Yes | 1.6K |
| hypeman | Yes | 1.49K |
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