Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 5% on 5 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 5% on 5 Jun 2025 and the low 0.5% on 7 Jun 2025. $327.38K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Jun 2025 – 7 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2025 | 5.0% |
| 7 Jun 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GAMET123 | Yes | 1.4K |
| Andy23 | Yes | 1.12K |
| Slippery-Combat | Yes | 625 |
| Annual-Sustenance | Yes | 506 |
| bahoi | Yes | 384.62 |
| HerculesBalls | Yes | 320.56 |
| Diran | Yes | 203.97 |
| 6hsdfhd35f | Yes | 201.02 |
| tuborg | Yes | 189.58 |
| smlj | Yes | 178.42 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, if by June 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-raid-greta-thunbergs-ship-by-friday
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