Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 74% on 18 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2023 to 1 Nov 2023, the highest close was 100% on 1 Nov 2023 and the lowest 28% on 27 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 89% on 28 Oct 2023. $584.83K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 18 Oct 2023 – 1 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2023 | 74.0% |
| 1 Nov 2023 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chiplis | No | 15.31K |
| Whiteobama | No | 5.6K |
| wowowow | No | 1.85K |
| madoff4point0 | No | 1.19K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (UTC +3), Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza. A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 31. If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-oct-31
| CatJedi | No | 999.21 |
| betterbettor86 | No | 892.39 |
| AAA7565 | No | 222 |
| km11 | No | 200 |
| AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA | No | 200 |
| uniqueoats | No | 113.95 |
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