Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.2%. Yes opened at 88% on 16 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2023 to 21 Oct 2023, the highest close was 88% on 16 Oct 2023 and the lowest 4.8% on 21 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 29% on 18 Oct 2023. $110.97K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2023 – 21 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2023 | 88.0% |
| 21 Oct 2023 | 4.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chnx | No | 0.08 |
| fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa | No | 0.01 |
| USA-LaoLuan | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 20, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza. A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves greater than 1000 Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. The market will resolve to "No" if no such major ground offensive takes place in Gaza by the Israeli forces by October 20. If the event occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-launch-a-major-ground-offensive-in-gaza-by-friday
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