Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 9 Oct 2025, the highest close was 2% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Oct 2025. $19.01K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 9 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 2.0% |
| 9 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 58.97K |
| Pristine-Charm | Yes | 12.53K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 1.57K |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 941 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) that Israel officially announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas. If Israel does not officially announce that it has agreed to a ceasefire by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in October”. If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-israel-announce-ceasefire
| duderr | Yes | 500 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 471.26 |
| Marlow. | Yes | 1 |
| shine | No | 0.02 |
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