Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Nov 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 14 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2023 to 24 Nov 2023, the highest close was 97.9% on 23 Nov 2023 and the lowest 37.5% on 14 Nov 2023. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 77.5% on 20 Nov 2023. $52.91K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 9:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 14 Nov 2023 – 24 Nov 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2023 | 37.5% |
| 24 Nov 2023 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mrvnbtc | No | 416.98 |
| Moonshot | No | 168.99 |
| lily333333 | No | 127.46 |
| Swiss79 | No | 100.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a humanitarian pause is defined as "A temporary pause in the fighting for a short period for humanitarian purposes, one that may be designed to allow people to leave a conflict area, repairs to be made, or bring in humanitarian relief or other supplies, etc." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Israel announces a 24h+ humanitarian pause will take place, regardless of whether it actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-announce-24h-humanitarian-pause-by-nov-30
| Horger | No | 45.74 |
| 2KaZ2 | No | 17.36 |
| Emerald Signal 89F1 | No | 0.4 |
| gopfan | Yes | 0.02 |
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