Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.9%. Yes opened at 49% on 29 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 98.9% on 2 Jun 2026 and the low 14.5% on 1 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 84 points up, to 98.9% on 2 Jun 2026. $4.19K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 1:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 29 May 2026 – 2 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 May 2026 | 49.0% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | 98.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 969.47 |
| Mangjinta | No | 351 |
| cripes3 | No | 300 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Urito2 | No | 20 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| zxcursed121 | No | 16 |
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 10 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 10 |
| Coral Beacon 7E5B | No | 8.7 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for May 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for May 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for May 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on June 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ism-manufacturing-pmi-may-2026
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