Will Ireland reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.6K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 17, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 17 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 4% on 29 Dec 2025. $2.64K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 6:53 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 17 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Dec 2025	50.0%
17 Feb 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	296
pisia	Yes	269.54
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	258

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is scheduled to begin on February 7, 2026. Four of the twenty competing teams will advance through the group stage and Super 8 stage to reach the semifinals. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed national team advances to the semifinals of the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or the tournament semifinalists are not definitively known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.