Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 81.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the low 36.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 36.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $8.84K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elisaversalles | No | 1K |
| xistece | No | 130 |
| Neat-Robot | No | 40.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 16.95 |
| Bubbly-Hunting | No | 16 |
| Ab54vv | No | 14 |
| Elaborate-Spiritual | No | 10 |
| daroghi | No | 10 |
| hesure | No | 7.62 |
| kiddddddd | No | 7.5 |
