Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 1.9% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the price held at 1.9%. $1.52K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 15 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | 1.9% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 40.31K |
| products | Yes | 5.21K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 1.45K |
| pd.unique | Yes | 1.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2025-2026-fa-cup-winner-215
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.17K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 1.06K |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 387.9 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 315 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 300 |
| NoLoyaltyToTheBosses | Yes | 180 |
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