
Resolved No on 3 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 35% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 3 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.4% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 41.4% on 1 Feb 2026. $1.88K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 3 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 35.0% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.69K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 945.86 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 187.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The LPL 2026 Split 1 is currently scheduled to take place from January 14 to March 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winner of the LPL 2026 Split 1 Playoffs. If the LPL 2026 Split 1 is postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple teams are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/LPL/2026/Split_1) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lpl-2026-split-1-playoffs-winner-319
| Yes |
| 183.28 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 150.2 |
| t3u | Yes | 135.98 |
| alivip | Yes | 82.99 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 75 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 75 |
| bysider | Yes | 66.46 |
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