Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 5 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2025 to 24 Jun 2025, the highest close was 22.5% on 5 Jun 2025 and the lowest 3.6% on 16 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 10.5% on 10 Jun 2025. $73.2K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 5 Jun 2025 – 24 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2025 | 22.5% |
| 24 Jun 2025 | 18.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.52K |
| playboyisinthehouse | Yes | 1.23K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 289.27 |
| neptunian | Yes | 154.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the club that wins Group A at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this club to win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2025, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifa-club-world-cup-group-a-winner-632
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