What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Infrared (https://x.com/InfraredFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Infrared, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

19 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 12, 4:05 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-infrared-launch-a-token-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?

Market referencewill-infrared-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026Updated Jan 12, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$18.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Dec 18, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Dec 19, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 12, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

0 / 5.9K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

178

Wallets

Loaded notional

$11.36K

Yes buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+12 pts

Range

45.0% - 99.9%

Nov 20, 12:00 AM UTC to Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC	99.9%	99.9%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC	99.7%	99.7%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC	99.7%	99.7%

Will Infrared launch a token by ___ ?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Infrared launch a token by ___ ?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Infrared (https://x.com/InfraredFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Infrared, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

99.9%

Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC

99.7%

Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC

99.7%