Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 69% on 20 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 20 Nov 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 53.5% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 91.5% on 4 Dec 2025. $17.84K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 20 Nov 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | 69.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zonh | No | 1K |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | No | 900 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 886 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 455 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Infrared (https://x.com/InfraredFinance) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Infrared, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-infrared-launch-a-token-by
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 441 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 321 |
| AmyKim5065 | No | 318 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 246 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 221 |
| TimothyKennedy1931 | No | 192 |
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