Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 28 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 189 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 86% on 17 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 22% on 17 Oct 2025. $67.17K traded over the market's life.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 8:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 189 points, 28 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2025 | 51.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| deltatigernz | Yes | 2.46K |
| Norahs | Yes | 1.43K |
| sirw | Yes | 999.9 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Infinex (https://infinex.xyz/) officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be public announcements from Infinex.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-infinex-launch-a-token-this-year
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 885.66 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 530 |
| Akashzoro | Yes | 259.68 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 249 |
| bruhbru | Yes | 236.28 |
| cowcat | Yes | 212.01 |
| farar | Yes | 201.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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