Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 47% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 47% on 12 Nov 2025 and the low 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 37.6% on 2 Dec 2025. $5.14K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 47.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 533 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 284.97 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 221 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165.97 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 86 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 79 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 48.08 |
| Rlso | Yes | 43.37 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 42.76 |
| luuuur | Yes | 42 |
