Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 15 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 15 May 2024 to 1 Jun 2024, the highest close was 15% on 15 May 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 3.9% on 16 May 2024. $16.96K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 7:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 15 May 2024 – 1 Jun 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2024 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jun 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.11K |
| venture | Yes | 143.14 |
| 404undefined | Yes | 6.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ilyas-next-company
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